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Metric: Mobile broadband to overtake fixed by 2011
Mobile broadband subscribers will out pace fixed broadband users by 2011, according to research from Informa Telecoms & Media. According to the research firm, rapid adoption of mobile broadband will lead it to dominate the connectivity market within four years, when services based on HSPA, EV-DO, WiMAX and other systems will have more subscribers than services based on DSL, cable and FTTH. Overall some 1 billion subscriptions on mobile broadband networks are expected by 2011.
Moreover, the report predicts that HSPA will be the leading mobile broadband system in 2012 by number of subscribers, followed by EV-DO and mobile WiMAX. EV-DO will have the most subscribers at end-2007 but will be overtaken by HSDPA in 2009. TD-SCDMA will also become a significant force in the mobile broadband market with close to 50 million subscribers in China by 2012.
For more about the research:
- read this telecoms.com article
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Comments
Posted by Ken Biba | July 23, 2009 - 11:53am
Intriguing idea .. however ... as the Novarum study for PC World illustrates ... current 3G networks are already overloaded .. and primarly from the overwhelmingly different usage model that the new generation of Smartphone - iPhone, Android and Pre - provide to their users ... perhaps generating a factor 10 more data traffic load through an effective user interface. This dramatic new data load is unforseen by cellular carriers .. and I suspect that even LTE - unless accompanied by a strong new program of denser cell deployments - will not have the capacity to meet the demand for the applications that users want.
We already see this the beginning of data rationing. Rationing will NOT drive demand for these new phones.
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